Florida A&M
W-L: (14-16) PR = 94.4802Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 67-** 1108 H Kennesaw St CUSA (20-14, 95.7) 72-92 1111 H UCF B12 (21-12, 97.8) 60-97 1117 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 57-87 1202 H Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 82-85 1215 A ALBST 93-77 1217 A Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 72-65 1219 H Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 54-78 1221 H TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 56-80 1228 H Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 65-89 103 H Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 83-87 110 A Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 67-59 112 A Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 91-84 117 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (12-20, 94.2) 71-67 119 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 62-48 124 A Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) 66-58 126 H Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 65-66 131 H Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 65-72 202 H Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 66-79 207 H TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 57-62 209 A Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) **-96 214 H Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 60-80 216 A Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) 86-78 219 H Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 61-63 221 A Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 76-63 226 A Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 82-71 228 A Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 66-59 305 A Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 81-77 311 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 70-60 313 H Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 70-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H So Florida 67-** -35 -3 0.00
1108 H Kennesaw St 72-92 -20 -1 -0.77
1111 H UCF 60-97 -37 -3 0.00
1117 H Georgia 57-87 -30 -3 0.00
1202 H Jacksonville 82-85 -3 0 - -2.22
1217 A Jacksonville 72-65 7 0 1.80
1219 H Tarleton St 54-78 -24 -1 -1.31
1221 H TCU 56-80 -24 -4 0.00
1228 H Georgia Tech 65-89 -24 -1 -0.72
103 H Beth-Cook 83-87 -4 -1 -1.49
110 A Southern 67-59 8 0 + 2.21
112 A Grambling St 91-84 7 0 1.68
117 A AK-Pine Bl 71-67 4 0 1.73
119 A Miss Val St 62-48 14 2 0.00
124 A Alcorn St 66-58 8 1 1.35
126 H Jackson St 65-66 -1 1 -1.52
131 H Alabama A&M 65-72 -7 0 -1.95
202 H Alabama St 66-79 -13 1 - -2.72
207 H TX Southern 57-62 -5 0 - -2.47
209 A Prairie View **-96 4 0 + 2.12
214 H Jackson St 60-80 -20 1 - -2.52
216 A Alcorn St 86-78 8 1 1.35
219 H Alabama A&M 61-63 -2 0 -1.95
221 A Alabama St 76-63 13 1 1.30
226 A Southern 82-71 11 0 + 2.21
228 A Grambling St 66-59 7 0 1.68
305 A Beth-Cook 81-77 4 -1 + 2.53
311 A Jackson St 70-60 10 1 1.50
313 H Southern 70-73 -3 0 -1.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1202 H Jacksonville 82-85 -3 0 - -2.22 202 H Alabama St 66-79 -13 1 - -2.72 207 H TX Southern 57-62 -5 0 - -2.47 214 H Jackson St 60-80 -20 1 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 A Southern 67-59 8 0 + 2.21 209 A Prairie View **-96 4 0 + 2.12 226 A Southern 82-71 11 0 + 2.21 305 A Beth-Cook 81-77 4 -1 + 2.53 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 67-** -2.80 4.67 -0.01 1.14 -1.60
3 H Kennesaw St (20-14, 95.7) 72-92 -4.18 3.29 -0.01 1.14 -2.39
3 H UCF (21-12, 97.8) 60-97 -2.10 5.37 -0.01 1.14 -1.20
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 57-87 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.14 -1.22
3 H Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 82-85 -5.63 1.85 -0.01 1.14 -3.21
3 A Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 72-65 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.14 4.23
3 H Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 54-78 -4.72 2.76 -0.01 1.14 -2.69
3 H TCU (24-12, 98.0) 56-80 -1.89 5.58 -0.01 1.14 -1.08
3 H Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 65-89 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 1.14 -2.36
3 H Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 83-87 -4.90 2.58 -0.01 1.14 -2.79
3 A Southern (16-18, 94.7) 67-59 -5.22 2.26 0.01 1.14 5.16
3 A Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 91-84 -5.75 1.72 0.01 1.14 3.95
3 A AK-Pine Bl (12-20, 94.2) 71-67 -5.70 1.78 0.01 1.14 4.07
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 62-48 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) 66-58 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.14 3.20
3 H Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 65-66 -5.93 1.55 -0.01 1.14 -3.38
3 H Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 65-72 -5.36 2.11 -0.01 1.14 -3.06
3 H Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 66-79 -6.13 1.35 -0.01 1.14 -3.49
3 H TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 57-62 -5.88 1.60 -0.01 1.14 -3.35
3 A Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) **-96 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.14 4.96
3 H Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 60-80 -5.93 1.55 -0.01 1.14 -3.38
3 A Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) 86-78 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.14 3.20
3 H Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 61-63 -5.36 2.11 -0.01 1.14 -3.06
3 A Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 76-63 -6.13 1.35 0.01 1.14 3.09
3 A Southern (16-18, 94.7) 82-71 -5.22 2.26 0.01 1.14 5.16
3 A Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 66-59 -5.75 1.72 0.01 1.14 3.95
3 A Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 81-77 -4.90 2.58 0.01 1.14 5.89
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 70-60 -5.93 1.55 0.01 1.14 3.54
3 H Southern (16-18, 94.7) 70-73 -5.22 2.26 -0.01 1.14 -2.98
------
11.45
|
winning pts = 52.6919 losing points = -41.2445
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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